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This from Bespoke Investment Group's note this morning says lots about the present setup:
Emphasis mine...
"Yesterday, WMT had its largest one-day decline since the 1987 crash and now TGT is on pace to do the same. The experiences of both companies further reinforce the point that we are operating in one of the most complicated macro environments that any company or investor has had to deal with. Few companies are so entwined into so many aspects of the US economy as WMT and TGT, and their logistics and supply chain operations rival or exceed those of most other companies. If they're having these types of issues keeping up with the rapidly changing environment, who isn't?"
This morning's rally in stocks should come as no surprise if you've been with me on the recent videos. Short-term technical patterns have been pointing to the potential for a strong oversold rally.
Here's yesterday's entry to our internal market log:
"The bottom line? Supply chains and inflation remain in flux, but there are signs that these issues could start to work themselves out in the second half. If they do, a less hawkish FOMC could be the market surprise for the second half. A key risk, though? Economic activity remains strong, but there are legitimate signals that demand has peaked."
Per last evening's look at the short-term S&P 500 setup (video featured below), a relief rally is certainly in the cards right here. As I type, equity market futures are confirming that notion. Whether or not it sticks, well... of course that remains to be seen.
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