Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Quick Morning Note

Equity markets (US in particular) recovered intraday yesterday from a notable initial selloff on news out of Washington (Trump comments) that the war is very near over… Of course there is much pushback on that notion from the punditry, and today’s headlines either suggest there’s much more to come, or that this is the final salvo/show-of-strength before talks begin.

The market, as I type, is discounting the latter.

Sunday, March 8, 2026

A Succinct Assessment Of The Action In Stocks, Commodities, Gold, etc. (video)

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Attention Non-Client subscribers: Nothing in this video should be construed as investment advice. The examples expressed relate to portfolio management we perform on behalf of our clients, and, again, under no circumstances are they to be considered recommendations to the viewer.

Thursday, March 5, 2026

Beneath the Counterintuitive (video)

Dear Clients, this morning's commentary is an important one to take in...


Once playing, click the icon in the lower right corner for full screen. Focus should occur after a few seconds; if not, click the wheel to the left of the YouTube icon to adjust:


Attention Non-Client subscribers: Nothing in this video should be construed as investment advice. The examples expressed relate to portfolio management we perform on behalf of our clients, and, again, under no circumstances are they to be considered recommendations to the viewer.

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Morning Note: Perspective

As I type (7:40am pt), we're experiencing one of those infrequent, but, alas, inevitable risk-off days where virtually all correlations move to one... Meaning, asset classes and individual securities that tend to complement each other from a risk standpoint -- i.e., tend to not always move in the same direction, or, better said, not move for the same reasons -- are, so far this morning, moving in the same direction (down), for the same reason(s).

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Some Data and Anticipating Market Reaction to This Weekend's Events (video)

Once playing, click the icon in the lower right corner for full screen. Focus should occur after a few seconds; if not, click the wheel to the left of the YouTube icon to adjust:

Attention Non-Client subscribers: Nothing in this video should be construed as investment advice. The examples expressed relate to portfolio management we perform on behalf of our clients, and, again, under no circumstances are they to be considered recommendations to the viewer.

Friday, February 27, 2026

Morning Note

US equities are seeing a leg lower today: Dow down 700 points, S&P 500 down 0.80%, and the Nasdaq down 1%. 

Headlines say it's the hot Producer Price Index for January, released this morning... The overall market action, however, doesn't really jibe with that sentiment.

Monday, February 23, 2026

Morning Note

As I type (~8am pt), and as anticipated by weekend events, US equities are taking a notable hit this morning… Dow down 800pts, S&P down 1.25%, Nasdaq down 1.5%.

The news being the president upping the new global tariff scheme to 15%, vs the 10% (which was greeted with a rally) announced Friday after the Supreme Court ruled against the existing scheme.