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Thanks Marty! Have a great weekend!
ReplyDeleteQuestions:
ReplyDelete1. What is the Taylor rule?
2. Why does the Fed use it from time to time?
Thanks Sam! You too!
Delete"The Taylor Rule" refers to a formula that determines where Fed funds "should be," developed by economist John Taylor... I don't believe that the Fed has ever actually used it, as it generally calls for a higher rate (when necessary) than what sitting Fed officials are comfortable with... I also believe that the "rule" precluded Taylor from ever getting nominated to the Fed board.
Thanks for explaining Marty.
DeleteI don't like the current set up of US 2Yr/10Yr Spread. It is currently sitting at -90. It is good for the bankers that can lend money to the government on a short term basis and make some great profit. The bond market yield curve is currently so inverted to the point basing on history that a recession is inevitable. I think the equity market will then pull back significantly. If that were to happen, when do you think our base case will bottom out?